One of the best arguments against voting for Trump for a third term in 2024 was made by former White House Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney. When asked by CNN’s John Berman whether he wants Trump to run for president a third time, Mulvaney replied, “I think there are many Republicans who don’t have his baggage.” He is effectively making the argument that he’s a waste of time, and Republicans should take advantage of this opportunity to get 90% Trump.
Biden’s approval rating is at a record low
Joe Biden’s approval rating is at an all-time low. Only one-third of Democrats strongly approve of Biden’s job performance and nearly half (45%) of all voters disapprove. Among Republicans, the disapproval rate is nearly the same: 87 percent. The continuously sinking approval rating of Biden has even started to cause concern in his own party. At this point, he has no chance of becoming president, even if his approval rating does increase.
While economic dissatisfaction plays a role in this dissatisfaction, there are other factors that may explain the deteriorating mood among younger Americans. Some of them blame Biden for the dysfunctional economy, while others are alarmed by the lack of ambitious health care and climate change plans. It’s worth remembering that the disapproval rating is also reflected in Republicans. Fewer than one-fifth of Republicans approve of Biden’s performance, but it is still far higher than the national average.
While the decline in Biden’s approval rating should not cause Democrats to panic, it is worth noting that his approval ratings have not dropped in the House yet. In fact, the Senate has not seen a decline in approval for any president since the end of World War II. However, there is an increasing correlation between congressional performance and approval rating. And if Biden does not improve his approval rating in the House, Democrats could suffer in the midterm elections.
The latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll shows that President Joe Biden’s approval rating is at an all-time low. The poll shows that nearly half of independent voters now strongly disapprove of the president’s job performance. This trend will also be a negative factor for Democratic candidates in November elections. And if Biden can’t get more popular support, it could hurt his prospects for reelection as vice president.
Meanwhile, in the United States, Joe Biden’s approval rating has hit a record low. According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Tuesday, 59% of Americans disapprove of Biden’s performance. As a result, the Democratic Party may lose at least one chamber of Congress this November. These are not encouraging numbers, as the country’s economic situation continues to worsen.
Trump’s image as a payback candidate
While his mediocre primary showing may have been a wake-up call, his image as a “payback” candidate in 2024 may not be dead. While it would seem unlikely, Trump only needs a plurality of support to run for president, not total support. And a crowded primary could actually help him. After all, Trump only needs a majority to win, not the entire party.
Although the former president has a patchy endorsement record in GOP primaries, he has boosted the ambition of other candidates. As he sees his influence waning, potential 2024 presidential candidates may be a little more inclined to support him. And if the primary field grows crowded, his chances of winning the party nomination may increase. So, how do former presidents counter the rising tide of Democrats?
Despite many of his allies advising him to move on, Trump is fixated on the 2020 election. He seethes at former officials who pop up on TV. He has shifted his allegiances to these former allies in an attempt to protect himself from any kind of investigation. While his image as a payback candidate in 2024 is still a far cry from reality, it’s worth analyzing how it can affect his future.
In the past two weeks, Trump and Mike Pence have been meeting in Washington, D.C., to make their pitch for a possible presidential bid in 2024. But while the two potential candidates have been meeting, Trump’s insurrection to cling to power has failed. Meanwhile, Pence has refused to go along with it. However, it appears the rumors of a potential 2020 presidential campaign are only starting to get real.
Trump’s focus on political payback
In his attempt to cling to power after the defeat in 2020, Donald Trump focused on political payback within his party. In the midst of his yearlong revenge tour, he deepened the rifts among Republicans. For example, nearly half of Republican primary voters ages 35 and younger said they would vote against Trump. Another significant percentage of GOP primary voters said they would abandon Trump if he wins the nomination.
In the months since the hearings, President Donald J. Trump has publicly flirted with the prospect of a third presidential run. He’s endorsed several groups that are working to build a prime administration-in-waiting, while remaining focused on denying the results of the 2020 election. These personnel and action plans would be implemented in the first 100 days of his second term, starting Jan. 2025. They would accelerate controversial policy changes, enable revenge tours against former allies, and shield the president from potential investigations.
While the underlying politics of his political strategy is largely unknown, Trump is spending a significant amount of time talking to luminaries in the “Stop the Steal” movement. These figures include Boris Epshteyn, a conservative attorney, and Mike Lindell, an entrepreneur and pillow manufacturer who has spent $25 million of his own money to promote political payback. His ties to his friends in Congress are also growing deeper. In fact, some conservative Republicans in his inner circle are now his closest allies on Capitol Hill. His children, Jared and Ivanka, have largely disassociated themselves from his political operation. Then, there are other Republicans in his inner circle, like Devin Nunes, who runs Trump’s social media company.
The upcoming election in the United States has a lot to play out, with both candidates focusing on political payback in the aftermath of the presidential race. Analysts are warning that if Trump continues to focus on political payback, he could undermine the Republican Party’s chances of winning the presidency for a third time in 2024. It’s easy to see why Republican strategists are so worried about Donald Trump’s political payback. And if the Democratic candidate wins, Trump is unlikely to be able to win.
Trump’s focus on a positive vision for the future
In recent polls, independent voters have rated the 2020 election as the most important issue in the country. But when it comes to talking about the future, Trump is losing voters. This is not surprising, given that voters are more interested in the future than the past. In the poll, only 3 percent named the 2020 election as the most important issue. The poll results are not conclusive, however, as a sample size of 849 was selected. The margin of sampling error is four percentage points.
In a poll conducted by the New York Times/Siena College on July 5-7, 2022, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has emerged as the most formidable challenger to Mr. Trump. Twenty-five percent of Republicans chose DeSantis as their second choice in the 2024 presidential election, making him the only contender with double-digit support. Further, the poll found that younger Republicans, college graduates, and primary voters all favored DeSantis over the other candidates.
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