Trump Should Avoid Pursuing Regime Change in Ukraine as Well

President Donald Trump is facing challenges as he tries to reshape U.S. policy in Ukraine. This situation echoes his earlier experience in Afghanistan, where the U.S. was caught in a difficult conflict. Unlike Afghanistan, however, the war in Ukraine is a proxy battle involving Russia, making it easier for the U.S. to withdraw.

Currently, Trump’s administration is pushing for a specific solution to the conflict, but this approach has not been smooth. He expects Ukraine to make significant territorial concessions and allow the U.S. access to its natural resources. This led to a heated exchange with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, causing concern among European leaders who are eager for U.S. support but remain committed to backing Ukraine.

On the other side, Russian President Vladimir Putin seems to have a more favorable relationship with Trump than Zelensky does, yet he remains unyielding. Moscow believes it is winning the war and is not inclined to make compromises. Trump has threatened to impose stronger sanctions on Russia, stating that he is considering significant financial penalties until a ceasefire is reached. However, past sanctions have had limited success, and Russia views its actions in Ukraine as vital to its national interests.

Interestingly, Trump’s public criticism of Zelensky has actually boosted the Ukrainian leader’s popularity. Zelensky has received support from other Ukrainian officials, and polls show he is still favored by a large margin among voters. In fact, after the recent tensions with Trump, Zelensky’s approval ratings have increased significantly.

Reports indicate that Trump’s administration is also trying to influence Ukrainian politics by engaging with opposition leaders in Ukraine, aiming to potentially replace Zelensky. This intervention mirrors tactics used by former President Barack Obama, who was criticized for meddling in Ukraine’s political landscape during the 2014 crisis.

The situation raises concerns about the legitimacy of any new government that might be installed with U.S. backing. If Ukrainians perceive their new leaders as puppets of Washington, it could lead to further instability. The historical context is troubling, as past interventions have often resulted in backlash and resentment.

As Trump navigates these complex issues, he faces a dilemma. While he wants to improve relations with Russia, he must also consider the impact of his actions on Ukraine and its people. The key takeaway is that any peace agreement will only hold if it is accepted by the Ukrainian populace. The U.S. should focus on supporting Ukraine’s right to self-determination rather than imposing solutions from abroad. Ultimately, Ukrainians must decide their own future.