Today, November 4, 2025, marks a significant election day as millions of voters head to the polls across the United States. Key races in New Jersey and New York City are drawing particular attention, with implications for both parties as they prepare for the upcoming midterms.
In New Jersey, Republican Jack Ciattarelli is making a surprising comeback against Democrat Mikie Sherrill in a closely watched gubernatorial race. Just weeks ago, Ciattarelli trailed by 20 points, but recent polls show him within striking distance. He needs strong turnout from his supporters and a majority of independent voters to secure a victory. The state has a significant Democratic advantage, with nearly one million more registered Democrats than Republicans. Early voting trends show Democrats have cast about 220,000 more mail-in ballots than Republicans, putting Ciattarelli at a disadvantage.
Meanwhile, Virginia seems to favor Democrats, with former Representative Abigail Spanberger holding a ten-point lead over Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears. Spanberger’s campaign has faced challenges, including a texting scandal involving her party’s attorney general nominee, but she remains steady in the polls.
In California, a controversial ballot measure known as Prop 50, which would allow for a redrawing of congressional districts, appears likely to pass. This measure, proposed by Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom, has drawn criticism from Republicans who see it as a way to gain additional seats in Congress.
Turning to New York City, the mayoral race is heating up with Zohran Mamdani, a self-identified democratic socialist, leading in the polls. Most surveys show him ahead of former Governor Andrew Cuomo by margins ranging from 10 to 25 points. However, a recent poll indicated a tighter race, suggesting a 6.6% lead for Mamdani. Betting markets heavily favor him, with predictions giving him a 95% chance of winning.
Mamdani’s platform includes proposals for rent freezes, free public transportation, and government-owned grocery stores. His support is particularly strong among foreign-born voters, where he garners 62% of their backing. In contrast, Cuomo leads among American-born New Yorkers.
The election has drawn national attention, with President Trump urging New York voters to reject Mamdani, labeling him a "communist." Mamdani’s potential victory would make him the first Muslim mayor of New York City, raising concerns among some Jewish voters due to his stance on Israel.
As election day unfolds, both parties are watching these races closely. Democrats are anxious about Mamdani’s rise, while Republicans hope for an upset in New Jersey. The outcomes could provide valuable insights into voter sentiment ahead of the midterms.
