"Trumps Credibility Issues and Irans Potential Strategy in the Israel Conflict"

After several hours of discussions, Iranian diplomat Abbas Aragchi left the talks without revealing much. The focus was on whether Iran would make concessions amid Israel’s intense military attacks. Aragchi indicated a willingness to negotiate, but only if Israel halted its bombardment—something that seems unlikely given recent events, including Iranian missile strikes on two major Israeli cities.

The talks, which lasted nearly four hours, did not yield any significant progress. The participants included countries not directly involved in the ongoing conflict, with both Israel and the United States absent from the discussions. This lack of direct representation from key players raised questions about the effectiveness of the negotiations.

The United States did send a message through British Foreign Secretary David Lammy, emphasizing its readiness to engage but also warning of potential military involvement if the situation escalates. However, the UK appeared to be delivering an American ultimatum that it does not fully support.

European nations, including the UK, are pushing for de-escalation and are wary of any military action from the US, especially under President Trump. The Iranian government, while facing severe pressure, seemed calm in the face of potential threats. They are aware that Trump may consider military action within weeks, but there are doubts about his credibility. Past actions have led to skepticism about whether he would follow through on threats.

As tensions rise, it appears that Iran may choose to stand firm rather than make concessions under pressure. The situation remains precarious, and the world watches closely as events unfold.