What Is Achievable in Ukraine?

During weekend walks, I often look for a house that displays a Ukrainian flag. It used to help me find my way in the neighborhood. Over time, that flag disappeared, replaced by sports team banners, including the Philadelphia Eagles. While these changes reflect local interests, the Ukrainian flag occasionally returns, signaling a mix of support and shifting priorities.

The residents who fly these flags likely feel compassion for Ukraine, especially in light of Russia’s invasion. This situation highlights a key issue with the U.S. response to the war: it seems more about showing solidarity than forming a true military alliance. Most Americans are hesitant to engage directly in the conflict. Even the strongest supporters of Ukraine emphasize the importance of keeping American troops out of the fight.

Nikki Haley, a leading candidate for the Republican presidential nomination, captured this sentiment when she said, “No American troops, no cash, no blank checks.” She advocates for supplying Ukraine with the necessary weapons to defend itself against Russia.

On the other hand, Representative Eric Swalwell views the war differently. He describes it as a low-cost way to weaken Russia, claiming that the U.S. has significantly impacted Russia’s military and economy without losing any soldiers. He believes this approach is a remarkable return on investment, although it overlooks the heavy toll on Ukrainian lives.

This reluctance to commit American lives doesn’t reflect a lack of moral conviction. Historical leaders during the Cold War understood the importance of being cautious yet firm in dealing with threats. The end of that era was meant to decrease the risks of nuclear conflict, not increase them.

Vice President J.D. Vance recently expressed frustration when a writer compared the current conflict to the Gulf War, which lasted only a few months and resulted in limited American casualties. The complexities of today’s situation are far greater, and the long-term implications of the Gulf War are still debated.

Furthermore, the ongoing war raises questions about the U.S. promises of support, like the potential for Ukraine to join NATO. As the situation grows more dire for Ukraine, many believe that simply sending more arms won’t solve the manpower issues facing them. A recent YouGov poll indicated that while many in Western Europe feel Ukraine needs more support, few are willing to increase their own military assistance.

These sentiments echo a common theme in public opinion: people often support cutting government spending but resist cuts to programs that directly affect them.

As the war continues, there is a possibility that diplomacy could yield better outcomes for Ukraine than a prolonged conflict. A negotiated settlement, even if imperfect, might be more beneficial than further losses. It’s essential that domestic political divisions do not hinder efforts for peace.